Monday, October 15, 2007

Virtually a lock

With Harris County knocking off Troup last week the Tigers' chances of making the playoffs are very good.
They have two losses, while Troup has three. So if Harris County wins two of its final three, the Tigers are in as they hold the head-to-head tiebreaker.
Also Troup still has to play LaGrange the last week of the season. Harris County still has to play Carver, Columbus High and Kendrick.
There is a scenario where Harris County wins two of their final three games and still misses the playoffs.
If Harris County beats Columbus and Kendrick, the Tigers will finish 7-3. If Troup wins their final four games, including beat LaGrange in the finale, the Tigers will finish 7-3.
If LaGrange losses to Shaw, Carver and Troup, the Grangers will finish 7-3.
They would all have 1-1 records against the other two. The next tiebreaker is point differential against the other two. If Troup beats LaGrange by 36 or more, Troup would have the best point differential, giving them a the third seed in the region.
LaGrange would get the fourth seed as it beat Harris County.
It could happen. But the chances are slim.

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